FITTING A GOMPERTZ CURVE

被引：52

作者：

FRANSES, PH

机构：

[1] Erasmus Univ, Rotterdam, Netherlands

来源：

JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY | 1994年 / 45卷 / 01期

关键词：

TIME SERIES; FORECASTING;

D O I：

10.2307/2583955

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

In this paper, a simple Gompertz curve-fitting procedure is proposed. Its advantages include the facts that the stability of the saturation level over the sample period can be checked, and that no knowledge of its value is necessary for forecasting. An application to forecasting the stock of cars in the Netherlands illustrates its merits.

引用

页码：109 / 113

页数：5

共 7 条

[1] A FLEXIBLE LOGISTIC GROWTH-MODEL WITH APPLICATIONS IN TELECOMMUNICATIONS [J].