HAZARD-BASED DURATION MODELS AND THEIR APPLICATION TO TRANSPORT ANALYSIS

被引:176
作者
HENSHER, DA [1 ]
MANNERING, F [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV WASHINGTON, DEPT CIVIL ENGN, SEATTLE, WA 98195 USA
基金
澳大利亚研究理事会;
关键词
D O I
10.1080/01441649408716866
中图分类号
U [交通运输];
学科分类号
08 ; 0823 ;
摘要
A number of transport-related phenomena deal with a time element that defines the duration until an event's occurrence. Examples include the time that transpires until a trip is made, the length of time a commuter delays a trip departure to avoid traffic congestion, and the time until a newly introduced mode is used. Hazard-based duration models, which have enjoyed widespread use in a number of non-transport fields (e.g. economics, biostatistics), are an obvious choice for modelling such transport phenomena. The objective of this paper is to present hazard-based models, in a general way, to individuals interested in transport problems. In so doing, every effort is made to avoid a jargon-laden approach that typifies current articles and texts on the subject. It is hoped that such a presentation, along with an overview of existing transport applications of such models, will lead to an increased use of hazard-based duration models in transport.
引用
收藏
页码:63 / 82
页数:20
相关论文
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