Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold

被引:1405
作者
Baur, Dirk G. [1 ,2 ]
Lucey, Brian M. [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Technol Sydney, Sch Finance & Econ, POB 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia
[2] Dublin City Univ, Sch Business, POB 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia
[3] Trinity Coll Dublin, Sch Business, Dublin, Ireland
[4] Trinity Coll Dublin, Inst Int Integrat Studies, Dublin, Ireland
关键词
safe haven; hedge; gold; stock-bond correlation; flight-to-quality;
D O I
10.1111/j.1540-6288.2010.00244.x
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Is gold a hedge, defined as a security that is uncorrelated with stocks or bonds on average, or is it a safe haven, defined as a security that is uncorrelated with stocks and bonds in a market crash? We study constant and time-varying relations between U.S., U.K. and German stock and bond returns and gold returns to investigate gold as a hedge and a safe haven. We find that gold is a hedge against stocks on average and a safe haven in extreme stock market conditions. A portfolio analysis further shows that the safe haven property is short-lived.
引用
收藏
页码:217 / 229
页数:13
相关论文
共 15 条
[1]   Psychological barriers in gold prices? [J].
Aggarwal, Raj ;
Lucey, Brian M. .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2007, 16 (02) :217-230
[2]   A new approach to measuring financial contagion [J].
Bae, KH ;
Karolyi, GA ;
Stulz, RM .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2003, 16 (03) :717-763
[3]   Flights and contagion-An empirical analysis of stock-bond correlations [J].
Baur, Dirk G. ;
Lucey, Brian M. .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STABILITY, 2009, 5 (04) :339-352
[4]  
Capie F., 2005, J INT FINANC MARK I, V15, P343, DOI DOI 10.1016/J.INTFIN.2004.07.002
[5]  
Davidson S., 2003, J INT FINANC MARK I, V13, P271
[6]  
Faff Robert., 2004, FINANC REV, V39, P473, DOI [10.1111/j.0732-8516.2004.00085.x, DOI 10.1111/J.0732-8516.2004.00085.X]
[7]   The Price of Gold: A Global Required Yield Theory [J].
Faugere, Christophe ;
Van Erlach, Julian .
JOURNAL OF INVESTING, 2005, 14 (01) :99-111
[8]   Decoupling - If the US. Treasury repays its debt, what then? [J].
Gulko, L .
JOURNAL OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, 2002, 28 (03) :59-+
[9]   Asset market linkages in crisis periods [J].
Hartmann, P ;
Straetmans, S ;
de Vries, CG .
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2004, 86 (01) :313-326
[10]   Do precious metals shine? An investment perspective [J].
Hillier, D ;
Draper, P ;
Faff, R .
FINANCIAL ANALYSTS JOURNAL, 2006, 62 (02) :98-106