MARKOV-CHAIN ANALYSIS OF INTERNAL MANPOWER SUPPLY

被引：21

作者：

ROWLAND, KM

SOVEREIGN, MG

机构：

[1] UNIV ILLINOIS,URBANA,IL

[2] OFF ASSISTANT SECRETARY DEF SYST ANAL,WASHINGTON,DC

来源：

INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS | 1969年 / 9卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1111/j.1468-232X.1969.tb00495.x

中图分类号：

F24 [劳动经济];

学科分类号：

020106 ; 020207 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

The separation of manpower forecasting into a demand forecast and a supply forecast emphasizes that each depends on quite different sources of information. The demand forecast is based primarily on an estimate of sales, which is then transformed into the number and type of personnel needed to produce and sell the company's products. The information for forecasting internal supply can often be treated as if it were independent of the external environment and is often available within the firm. If a matrix representing the probability of transition from one job classification to another can be prepared for the relevant classifications, Markov‐chain theory can be used to generate a forecast of internal manpower supply. Copyright © 1969, Wiley Blackwell. All rights reserved

引用

页码：88 / 99

页数：12