INCREASED RISK OF NON-INSULIN-DEPENDENT DIABETES-MELLITUS AT LOW PLASMA VITAMIN-E CONCENTRATIONS - A 4 YEAR FOLLOW-UP-STUDY IN MEN

Objective-To investigate whether low vitamin E status is a risk factor for incident non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus. Design-Population based follow up study with diabetes assessed at baseline and at four years. Setting-Eastern Finland. Subjects-Random sample of 944 men aged 42-60 who had no diabetes at the baseline examination. Intervention-Oral glucose tolerance test at four year follow up. Main outcome measures-A man was defined diabetic if he had either (a) a fasting blood glucose concentration greater than or equal to 6.7 mmol/l, or (b) a blood glucose concentration greater than or equal to 10.0 mmol/l two hours after a glucose load, or (c) a clinical diagnosis of diabetes with either dietary, oral, or insulin treatment. Results-45 men developed diabetes during the follow up period. In a multivariate logistic regression model including the strongest predictors of diabetes, a low lipid standardised plasma vitamin E (below median) concentration was associated with a 3.9-fold (95% confidence interval 1.8-fold to 8.6-fold) risk of incident diabetes. A decrement of 1 mu mol/l of uncategorised unstandardised vitamin E concentration was associated with an increment of 22% in the risk of diabetes when allowing for the strongest other risk factors as well as serum low density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglyceride concentrations. Conclusions-There was a strong independent association between low vitamin E status before follow up and an excess risk of diabetes at four years. This supports the theory that free radical stress has a role in the causation of non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus.