OPTIMAL ADMINISTRATION OF DUAL SCREENING-TESTS FOR DETECTING A CHARACTERISTIC WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO LOW PREVALENCE DISEASES

被引:21
作者
GEISSER, S [1 ]
JOHNSON, W [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV CALIF DAVIS,DIV STAT,DAVIS,CA 95616
关键词
AIDS; BAYESIAN APPROACH; DIRICHLET PRIOR; FELINE LEUKEMIA VIRUS; PREDICTIVE VALUE POSITIVE; PREVALENCE; SENSITIVITY; SPECIFICITY;
D O I
10.2307/2532349
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We consider the problem of deciding optimally whether a characteristic exists based on one or two screening tests. We discuss the relative merits of giving either one or two tests, including the order in which they might be given, as well as their costs. Operating in the Bayesian mode, we derive posterior distributions for the accuracies of the tests and the prevalence of the characteristic. Applications to detecting rare conditions, such as the AIDS virus, are discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:839 / 852
页数:14
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