EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY IN ENGINEERING .1. THE USE AND MISUSE OF EXPERT OPINION

被引：47

作者：

KRINITZSKY, EL

机构：

来源：

ENGINEERING GEOLOGY | 1993年 / 33卷 / 04期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0013-7952(93)90030-G

中图分类号：

P5 [地质学];

学科分类号：

0709 ; 081803 ;

摘要：

The Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and the Electric Power Research Institute have developed procedures that statistically merge multiple expert opinions to get probabilistic seismic hazard evaluations. Such methods are intrinsically defective and should not be used for design applications in engineering.

引用

页码：257 / 288

页数：32