PREDICTING FUTURE RANDOM EVENTS BASED ON PAST PERFORMANCE

被引：59

作者：

MORRISON, DG ^{[1
]}

SCHMITTLEIN, DC ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV PENN,WHARTON SCH,PHILADELPHIA,PA 19104

来源：

MANAGEMENT SCIENCE | 1981年 / 27卷 / 09期

关键词：

PROBABILITY;

D O I：

10.1287/mnsc.27.9.1006

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

The purpose of this study is to expose H. Robbins' results to practitioners who will find it highly useful, and compare its effectiveness with that of two other models based on the negative binomial (NBD) and condensed negative binomial (CNBD) distributions. The Robbins approach is particularly relevant for the zero class which plays a major role in the analysis of period sales fluctuations.

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页码：1006 / 1023

页数：18

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