A NOMOGRAM FOR PREDICTING LIFETIME HIP FRACTURE RISK FROM RADIUS BONE-MINERAL DENSITY AND AGE

A statistical model for predicting a woman's lifetime risk of hip fracture using her bone mineral density at menopause has been proposed by Black et al. (1992b). We made an additional assumption concerning the correlation of bone mineral density between any two ages among postmenopausal women and applied the modified model to baseline ages between 50 and 85 years and any bone mineral density level likely to be observed in the population. The results are displayed in a form more convenient for application of this model in the clinical setting.