THE USE OF ANALOGIES IN FORECASTING ECOLOGICAL AND SOCIETAL RESPONSES TO GLOBAL WARMING

被引:47
作者
GLANTZ, MH
机构
[1] Environmental Research, Societal Impacts Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
来源
ENVIRONMENT | 1991年 / 33卷 / 05期
关键词
D O I
10.1080/00139157.1991.9931393
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Until computer modeling systems are able to forecast the regional impacts of a global climate change, scientists and nonscientists alike will find analogies useful for understanding how ecosystems and societies might respond to such change. But analogies must be used with care lest they be misapplied to justify a particular policy agenda.
引用
收藏
页码:10 / &
相关论文
共 63 条
[41]  
PARRY ML, 1988, ASSESSMENT COOL TEMP, V1
[42]   TOWARDS REGIONAL SCENARIOS FOR A CO2-WARMED EARTH [J].
PITTOCK, AB ;
SALINGER, MJ .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 1982, 4 (01) :23-40
[43]  
REISNER M, 1990, OVERTAPPED OASIS REF, P115
[44]  
ROBIN A, 1990, HIGH COUNTRY NE 0804, P4
[45]  
SCHNEIDER SH, 1984, COEVOLUTION CLIMATE, P325
[46]  
SCHNEIDER SH, 1990, GLOBAL WARMING ARE W, P103
[47]  
SCHNEIDER SH, 1987, ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANG, P403
[48]  
Turner B.L. II., 1991, EARTH TRANSFORMED HU
[49]   THE POSSIBLE IMPACTS ON WHEAT PRODUCTION OF A RECURRENCE OF THE 1930S DROUGHT IN THE UNITED-STATES GREAT PLAINS [J].
WARRICK, RA .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 1984, 6 (01) :5-26
[50]   SCENARIO FOR A WARM, HIGH-CO2 WORLD [J].
WIGLEY, TML ;
JONES, PD ;
KELLY, PM .
NATURE, 1980, 283 (5742) :17-21