EFFECT OF ROADWAY GEOMETRICS AND ENVIRONMENTAL-FACTORS ON RURAL FREEWAY ACCIDENT FREQUENCIES

被引:457
作者
SHANKAR, V [1 ]
MANNERING, F [1 ]
BARFIELD, W [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV WASHINGTON,DEPT IND ENGN,SEATTLE,WA 98195
关键词
NEGATIVE BINOMIAL; ACCIDENT FREQUENCY;
D O I
10.1016/0001-4575(94)00078-Z
中图分类号
TB18 [人体工程学];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
This paper explores the frequency of occurrence of highway accidents on the basis of a multivariate analysis of roadway geometrics (e.g. horizontal and vertical alignments), weather, and other seasonal effects. Based on accident data collected in the field, a negative binomial model of overall accident frequencies is estimated along with models of the frequency of specific accident types. Interactions between weather and geometric variables are proposed as part of the model specifications. The results of the analysis uncover important determinants of accident frequency. By studying the relationship between weather and geometric elements, this paper offers insight into potential measures to counter the adverse effects of weather on highway sections with challenging geometrics.
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页码:371 / 389
页数:19
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