生育意愿研究:理论与实证

被引:117
作者
吴帆
机构
[1] 南开大学社会工作与社会政策系
关键词
生育意愿; 超低生育意愿; 低生育率; 生育赤字; 家庭政策;
D O I
10.19934/j.cnki.shxyj.2020.04.011
中图分类号
C924.21 [人口政策与制度];
学科分类号
1407 ;
摘要
人口衰退、老龄化和超低生育率构成了21世纪的人口危机,而"生育赤字"和超低生育意愿是这场危机的"原爆点"。本研究围绕生育意愿,从生育意愿与生育率关系的稳定性、生育意愿变化规律、生育意愿影响因素、生育赤字、家庭政策对生育意愿的影响等方面勾画出20世纪80年代以来生育意愿理论的图谱和实证研究的发展脉络,探讨了中国生育意愿研究存在的几个认识问题。中国的生育意愿已低于更替水平,这无疑是生育危机的前兆,需要引起高度重视。
引用
收藏
页码:218 / 240+246 +246
页数:24
相关论文
共 64 条
[11]  
The effect of culture on the fertility decisions of immigrant women in the United States[J] . Miriam Marcén,José Alberto Molina,Marina Morales.Economic Modelling . 2018
[12]  
Channels of social influence on the realization of short-term fertility intentions in Germany[J] . Anne-Kristin Kuhnt,Heike Trappe.Advances in Life Course Research . 2015
[13]  
Realization of fertility intentions by different time frames[J] . Lars Dommermuth,Jane Klobas,Trude Lappeg?rd.Advances in Life Course Research . 2015
[14]  
Desire for Marriage and Children: A Comparison of Feminist and Non-feminist Women[J] . Lauren P. Hartwell,Mindy J. Erchull,Miriam Liss.Gender Issues . 2014 (2)
[15]   Do Family Support Environments Influence Fertility? Evidence from 20 European Countries [J].
Harknett, Kristen ;
Billari, Francesco C. ;
Medalia, Carla .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE, 2014, 30 (01) :1-33
[16]   The Impact of Family Policies on Fertility Trends in Developed Countries [J].
Luci-Greulich, Angela ;
Thevenon, Olivier .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE, 2013, 29 (04) :387-416
[17]  
Is fertility contagious? Using panel data to disentangle mechanisms of social network influences on fertility decisions[J] . Daniel Lois,Oliver Arránz Becker.Advances in Life Course Research . 2013
[18]  
Fertility in Advanced Societies: A Review of Research[J] . Nicoletta Balbo,Francesco C. Billari,Melinda Mills.European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie . 2013 (1)
[19]  
Childbearing desires of childless men and women: When are goals adjusted?[J] . Edith Gray,Ann Evans,Anna Reimondos.Advances in Life Course Research . 2012
[20]  
Family policies in developed countries: a ‘fertility-booster’ with side-effects[J] . Olivier Thévenon,AnneH. Gauthier.Community, Work & Family . 2011 (2)