异质性雇佣成本、失业波动与货币政策——Evans规则在我国具有适用性吗?

被引：10

作者：

陈利锋

机构：

[1] 中共广东省委党校经济学教研部

来源：

国际金融研究 | 2015年 / 05期

关键词：

异质性雇佣成本; 非正规就业; 新凯恩斯主义; Evans规则;

D O I：

10.16475/j.cnki.1006-1029.2015.05.003

中图分类号：

F249.1 [世界]; F821.0 [货币政策];

学科分类号：

摘要：

基于发展中国家非正规部门大量存在的事实,通过对Blanchard&Gali(2010)模型的扩展,本文建立了一个含有非正规部门的多部门异质性雇佣成本模型。研究发现,非正规部门与异质性雇佣成本的引入,使得基准的新凯恩斯主义模型发现的"天赐的巧合"并不存在。在此基础上,通过引入对失业做出反应的Evans规则,本文发现,Evans规则下货币政策冲击具有更强的冲击性效应,并且其造成的社会福利损失相对较小。在失业问题日益突出且"失业回滞"削弱了劳动力市场自我修复能力的背景下,采用类似于Evans规则的政策机制将有利于缓解失业并减少政策造成的社会福利损失。然而,由于失业统计工作的滞后限制了这一政策机制在我国的适用性。

引用

页码：26 / 36

页数：11

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