股票收益率波动和极值关系研究

被引:7
作者
柳会珍 [1 ]
顾岚 [2 ]
机构
[1] 北京化工大学数学系 
[2] 中国人民大学统计学院 
关键词
非线性时间序列; 统计极值理论; 波动; 新息; 尾指;
D O I
10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2006.10.015
中图分类号
F830.91 [证券市场];
学科分类号
摘要
Nonlinear time series models GARCH and Extreme value theory are employed to explore the relationship between the volatility and exreme value of stock returns.Given the pass information,we assume the innovation follows the conditional t-distribution and generalized error distribution,then we fit ARMA models to the retum level and GARCH,EGARCH and TGARCH models to the volatility of the rerurn.Finally we obtain the tails indices for the innovation and the returns by using the statistical extreme value method,and the statistical results show that the tail indices of returns coincide with the one of innovations for the EGARCH models.
引用
收藏
页码:68 / 71
页数:4
相关论文
共 3 条
  • [1] 股票收益率分布的尾部行为研究
    柳会珍
    顾岚
    不详
    [J]. 系统工程 , 2005, (02) : 74 - 77
  • [2] How does innovation’s tail risk determine marginal tail risk of a stationary financial time series?[J]. YU Bosco W. T.,PANG W. K..Science in China,Ser.A. 2004(03)
  • [3] Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values. Reiss, R.D,Thomas, M. Birkhauser-Verlag . 2001