关税政策不确定性如何影响就业与工资

被引：61

作者：

李胜旗 ^{[1
]}

毛其淋 ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] 首都经济贸易大学金融学院

[2] 南开大学经济学院国际经济研究所、跨国公司研究中心、中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心

来源：

世界经济 | 2018年 / 41卷 / 06期

关键词：

关税政策不确定性; 就业创造; 就业破坏; 工资差距;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

F249.2 [中国]; F752.50 [关税政策];

学科分类号：

020207 ; 1202 ; 120202 ; 020106 ; 020206 ;

摘要：

本文在一个准自然实验的框架下,采用双重差分法考察了关税政策不确定性(TPU)下降对中国企业就业与工资的影响。我们发现,TPU下降显著促进了企业就业净增长,并且这一效应随时间推移逐步增强;进一步的渠道检验表明,TPU下降除通过"提高就业创造"与"降低就业破坏"促进企业就业净增长外,出口扩张也是其促进企业就业净增长的重要渠道。本文还进一步研究了TPU与企业工资的关系,发现TPU下降不仅显著提高了企业平均工资,还缩小了其工资差距。此外,TPU下降显著提高了企业劳动密集型产品的出口占比,而劳动密集型产品出口规模的相对扩张会促进企业更多雇佣非技术劳动力,从而有助于缩小企业工资差距。

引用

页码：28 / 52

页数：25

共 36 条

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