气候冲击与晚清教案

被引：9

作者：

梁若冰

机构：

[1] 厦门大学经济学院财政系

来源：

经济学(季刊) | 2014年 / 13卷 / 04期

关键词：

气候冲击; 晚清教案; 经济冲击;

D O I：

10.13821/j.cnki.ceq.2014.04.014

中图分类号：

K252 [清后期（1840~1911年）]; P467 [气候变化、历史气候];

学科分类号：

060205 ; 0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

众多研究发现气候冲击引发的经济冲击是造成暴力冲突的重要原因,本文通过构建面板泊松模型考察了气候冲击对清末教案的影响。回归结果显示气候冲击对粮食收成与价格有显著作用,而后者又影响了教案的发生,据此可推断经济冲击是重要的传导途径。本文还分别考察了教案发生原因的两类假说,发现机会成本假说的解释力度优于俱乐部公共品假说。此外,本文还利用不同的回归模型与替代变量验证了结果的稳健性。

引用

页码：1557 / 1584

页数：28

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