厄尔尼诺和南方涛动对中国水稻产量的影响(英文)

被引：5

作者：

邓祥征 ^{[1
,2
]}

黄季馄 ^{[1
,2
]}

乔方彬 ^{[3
]}

Rosamond LNaylor ^{[4
]}

Walter PFalcon ^{[4
]}

Marshall Burke ^{[4
]}

Scott Rozelle ^{[4
]}

David Battisti ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy,CAS

[2] Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS

[3] Central Finance University

[4] Stanford University,Stanford

[5] University of Washington

来源：

JournalofGeographicalSciences | 2010年 / 20卷 / 01期

关键词：

El Nio Southern Oscillation; ENSO; econometric methods; rice production; sea-surface temperature anomaly; China;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

S511 [稻]; P732 [海洋气象学];

学科分类号：

0901 ; 0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

This paper aims to demonstrate the relationships between ENSO and rice production of Jiangxi province in order to identify the reason that ENSO might have little effect on Chinese rice production. Using a data set with measures of Jiangxi's climate and rice production,we find the reason that during 1985 and 2004 ENSO's well correlated with rainfall did not promote Chinese rice production. First,the largest effects of ENSO mostly occur in the months when there is no rice in the field. Second,there is almost no temperature effect. Finally,the monthly distribution of rainfall is almost the same in ENSO and neutral years because the largest effects are during months when there is the least rain. In addition,due to the high irrigation share and reliable and effective irrigation facilities of cultivated land,China's rice production is less climate-sensitive.

引用

页码：3 / 16

页数：14

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