新型农村社会养老保险政策效果评估——收入、贫困、消费、主观福利和劳动供给

被引：696

作者：

张川川 ^{[1
]}

John Giles ^{[2
]}

赵耀辉 ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] 中央财经大学经济学院

[2] 世界银行发展研究部

[3] 北京大学国家发展研究院

来源：

经济学(季刊) | 2015年 / 14卷 / 01期

关键词：

新型农村社会养老保险; 断点回归; 双重差分;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

F842.67 []; F323.89 [农村社会保障、福利事业];

学科分类号：

120404 [社会保障];

摘要：

本文使用中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)数据,采用断点回归和双重差分识别策略,估计了"新农保"对农村老年人收入、贫困、消费、主观福利和劳动供给的影响。研究结果显示,"新农保"养老金收入显著提高了农村老年人的收入水平、减少了贫困的发生、提高了其主观福利,并在一定程度上促进了家庭消费和减少了老年人劳动供给。进一步的研究显示,健康状况较差的老年人受到的政策影响更大更显著,表明"新农保"的政策影响存在异质性。

引用

页码：203 / 230

页数：28

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