Could a single dose of pneurnococcal conjugate vaccine in children be effective? Modeling the optimal age of vaccination

被引:12
作者
Barzilay, EJ
O'Brien, KL
Kwok, YS
Hoekstra, RM
Zell, ER
Reid, R
Santosham, M
Whitney, CG
Feikin, DR
机构
[1] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Ctr Infect Dis, Div Bacterial & Mycot Dis, Resp Dis Branch, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA
[2] Emory Univ, Sch Med, Dept Pediat, Atlanta, GA USA
[3] Johns Hopkins Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Ctr Amer Indian Hlth, Baltimore, MD USA
[4] Univ Michigan, Sch Med, Dept Internal Med, Ann Arbor, MI USA
[5] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Biostat Informat Managment Branch, Atlanta, GA USA
关键词
pneumococcal conjugate vaccine; Markov model; reduced dose vaccination model;
D O I
10.1016/j.vaccine.2005.08.092
中图分类号
R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];
学科分类号
100102 ;
摘要
Using incidence rates from CDC's Active Bacterial Core surveillance and immunogenicity data from the Navajo/Apache trial of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV), we used Markov modeling to predict the optimal age to give a single dose of PCV. Antibody concentration thresholds of 0.35 and 1.0 mcg/ml were considered protective. Our outcome was vaccine serotype-specific invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence at 24 months. The models predicted the optimal age to vaccinate is 5-7 months with vaccine-induced immunologic memory and 8-10 months without memory. IPD reduction ranged from 15 to 62%, depending on model parameters. A single PCV dose in infants could prevent substantial IPD. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:904 / 913
页数:10
相关论文
共 44 条
[1]   DECLINE OF CHILDHOOD HAEMOPHILUS-INFLUENZAE TYPE-B (HIB) DISEASE IN THE HIB VACCINE ERA [J].
ADAMS, WG ;
DEAVER, KA ;
COCHI, SL ;
PLIKAYTIS, BD ;
ZELL, ER ;
BROOME, CV ;
WENGER, JD .
JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION, 1993, 269 (02) :221-226
[2]   Streptococcus pneumonia capsular polysaccharide-diphtheria toxoid conjugate vaccine is immunogenic in early infancy and able to induce immunologic memory [J].
Åhman, H ;
Käyhty, H ;
Lehtonen, H ;
Leroy, O ;
Froeschle, J ;
Eskola, J .
PEDIATRIC INFECTIOUS DISEASE JOURNAL, 1998, 17 (03) :211-216
[3]   Pentavalent pneumococcal oligosaccharide conjugate vaccine PncCRM is well-tolerated and able to induce an antibody response in infants [J].
Ahman, H ;
Kayhty, H ;
Tamminen, P ;
Vuorela, A ;
Malinoski, F ;
Eskola, J .
PEDIATRIC INFECTIOUS DISEASE JOURNAL, 1996, 15 (02) :134-139
[4]   Immunogenicity of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in infants [J].
Anderson, EL ;
Kennedy, DJ ;
Geldmacher, KM ;
Donnelly, J ;
Mendelman, PM .
JOURNAL OF PEDIATRICS, 1996, 128 (05) :649-653
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2000, MMWR Recomm Rep, V49, P1
[6]   Efficacy, safety and immunogenicity of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in children [J].
Black, S ;
Shinefield, H ;
Fireman, B ;
Lewis, E ;
Ray, P ;
Hansen, JR ;
Elvin, L ;
Ensor, KM ;
Hackell, J ;
Siber, G ;
Malinoski, F ;
Madore, D ;
Chang, I ;
Kohberger, R ;
Watson, W ;
Austrian, R ;
Edwards, K .
PEDIATRIC INFECTIOUS DISEASE JOURNAL, 2000, 19 (03) :187-195
[7]  
*CDCP, 2002, JAMA-J AM MED ASSOC, V287, P833
[8]  
*CDCP, 2005, VACC CHILDR VACC PRI
[9]   Immunogenicity, safety, and memory of different schedules of Neisseria meningitidis A/C-diphtheria toxoid conjugate vaccine in infants in Niger [J].
Chippaux, JP ;
Garba, A ;
Ethevenaux, C ;
Campagne, G ;
de Chabalier, F ;
Djibo, S ;
Nicolas, P ;
Ali, H ;
Charrondière, M ;
Ryall, R ;
Bybel, M ;
Schuchat, A .
VACCINE, 2004, 22 (25-26) :3303-3311
[10]   Immunogenicity and reactogenicity of a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine administered combined with a Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine in United Kingdom infants [J].
Choo, S ;
Seymour, L ;
Morris, R ;
Quataert, S ;
Lockhart, S ;
Cartwright, K ;
Finn, A .
PEDIATRIC INFECTIOUS DISEASE JOURNAL, 2000, 19 (09) :854-862