A framework for long-term scenario analysis in the Taihu Basin, China

被引：15

作者：

Cheng, X. T. ^{[1
]}

Evans, E. P. ^{[2
]}

Wu, H. Y. ^{[3
]}

Thorne, C. R. ^{[4
]}

Han, S. ^{[1
]}

Simm, J. D. ^{[5
]}

Hall, J. W. ^{[6
]}

机构：

[1] China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, Beijing, Peoples R China

[2] Univ Nottingham, Sch Geog, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England

[3] Taihu Basin Author, Shanghai, Peoples R China

[4] Univ Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England

[5] HR Wallingford, Wallingford, Oxon, England

[6] Univ Oxford, Oxford, England

来源：

JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT | 2013年 / 6卷 / 01期

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

Flood risk management; scenario analysis; Taihu Basin; FLOOD RISK-MANAGEMENT;

D O I：

10.1111/jfr3.12024

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The Taihu Basin, situated on the south side of the Yangtze delta, is a large flood-prone area that has urbanised rapidly. The risk of flooding is set to increase in future because of continued economic development and the impacts of climate change. Scenario analysis has been adopted to help understand the potential impacts of long-term change on flood risk, including the effects of climate change and socio-economic development, thus providing the basis for the development of sustainable flood risk management strategies. This paper describes the flooding processes in the Taihu Basin and sets out strategic questions that the scenario analysis sought to address. It provides an overview of the assessment framework adopted in the China/UK scientific cooperation project ChinaUK Scenario Analysis Technology for River Basin Flood Risk Management in the Taihu Basin'. Further details of the component studies carried out as part of the project are given in the associated papers in this special issue.

引用

页码：3 / 13

页数：11

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