Optimal mitigation strategies with negative emission technologies and carbon sinks under uncertainty

被引:28
作者
Fuss, Sabine [1 ]
Reuter, Wolf Heinrich [1 ,2 ]
Szolgayova, Jana [1 ,3 ]
Obersteiner, Michael [1 ]
机构
[1] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
[2] Vienna Univ Econ & Business, Dept Econ, A-1090 Vienna, Austria
[3] Comenius Univ, Dept Appl Math & Stat, Bratislava 84248, Slovakia
关键词
BIOMASS ENERGY; BIO-ENERGY; CAPTURE; SEQUESTRATION; STORAGE; MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/s10584-012-0676-1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In recent years a body of literature has arisen on the topic of how to compose the optimal portfolio of mitigation options. The focus has been mainly on options involving shifts from high- to low- or even negative-carbon technologies. Natural sinks play an important role in any attempt to stabilize atmospheric CO2 and usually enter as a constant term in the overall carbon budget. In this paper, we introduce natural sinks to the carbon management problem and analyze the implications for negative emission technology deployment and the overall mitigation strategy. Amongst other sensitivity analyses, we also investigate the impact of uncertainty in the carbon sink, which we find to raise the importance of negative emissions in the mitigation portfolio significantly lowering the cost of the policy mix.
引用
收藏
页码:73 / 87
页数:15
相关论文
共 47 条
[1]   Fat tails, exponents, extreme uncertainty: Simulating catastrophe in DICE [J].
Ackerman, Frank ;
Stanton, Elizabeth A. ;
Bueno, Ramon .
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2010, 69 (08) :1657-1665
[2]  
Ahlig R, 1997, CRIT REV ENV SCI TEC, V27, P97
[3]   Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne [J].
Allen, Myles R. ;
Frame, David J. ;
Huntingford, Chris ;
Jones, Chris D. ;
Lowe, Jason A. ;
Meinshausen, Malte ;
Meinshausen, Nicolai .
NATURE, 2009, 458 (7242) :1163-1166
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2007, CLIMATE CHANGE 2007
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2009, Geoengineering the climate: Science, governance and uncertainty
[6]   The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) [J].
Azar, Christian ;
Lindgren, Kristian ;
Obersteiner, Michael ;
Riahi, Keywan ;
van Vuuren, Detlef P. ;
den Elzen, K. Michel G. J. ;
Moellersten, Kenneth ;
Larson, Eric D. .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2010, 100 (01) :195-202
[7]  
Bosetti V, 2008, 692008 FDN E MATT SU
[8]  
Bosetti V, 2010, FDN E MATTEI FEEM SE
[9]   Climate sensitivity uncertainty and the need for energy without CO2 emission [J].
Caldeira, K ;
Jain, AK ;
Hoffert, MI .
SCIENCE, 2003, 299 (5615) :2052-2054
[10]   Managing forests for climate change mitigation [J].
Canadell, Josep G. ;
Raupach, Michael R. .
SCIENCE, 2008, 320 (5882) :1456-1457