Optimal Mortgage Refinancing: A Closed-Form Solution

被引:60
作者
Agarwal, Sumit [1 ]
Driscoll, John C. [2 ]
Laibson, David I. [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Natl Univ Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
[2] Fed Reserve Board, San Francisco, CA USA
[3] Harvard Univ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[4] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
G11; G21; mortgage; refinance; option value; OPTIMAL CALL; VALUATION; PREPAYMENT; DEFAULT; MARKET; MODELS;
D O I
10.1111/jmcb.12017
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We derive the first closed-form optimal refinancing rule: refinance when the current mortgage interest rate falls below the original rate by at least 1[phi+Wexp phi].In this formula W(.) is (the principal branch of) the Lambert W-function, =2+sigma, phi=1++/M(1),where is the real discount rate, is the expected real rate of exogenous mortgage repayment, sigma is the standard deviation of the mortgage rate, /M is the ratio of the tax-adjusted refinancing cost and the remaining mortgage value, and is the marginal tax rate. This expression is derived by solving a tractable class of refinancing problems. Our quantitative results closely match those reported by researchers using numerical methods.
引用
收藏
页码:591 / 622
页数:32
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