Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in western central Africa, Guinea Conakry, and Zimbabwe, 1955-2006

被引:220
作者
Aguilar, E. [1 ]
Barry, A. Aziz [2 ]
Brunet, M. [1 ,3 ]
Ekang, L. [4 ]
Fernandes, A. [5 ]
Massoukina, M. [6 ]
Mbah, J. [7 ]
Mhanda, A. [8 ]
do Nascimento, D. J. [9 ]
Peterson, T. C. [10 ]
Umba, O. Thamba [11 ]
Tomou, M. [12 ]
Zhang, X. [13 ]
机构
[1] Univ Rovira & Virgili, Dept Geog, Ctr Climate Change, Campus Ctr, E-43002 Tarragona, Spain
[2] Natl Meteorol & Hydrol Serv, Conakry, Guinea
[3] Univ E Anglia, Climat Res Unit, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[4] Cabinet Minist Transports, Libreville, Gabon
[5] Inst Natl Meteorol, Sao Tome, Sao Tome & Prin
[6] Serv Meteorol Natl, Brazzaville, Rep Congo
[7] Direct Meteorol Natl Cameroon, Douala, Cameroon
[8] Zimbabwe Meteorol Serv Dept, Harare, Zimbabwe
[9] Inst Nacl Hidrometeorol & Geofis, Luanda, Angola
[10] NOAA, Natl Climat Data Ctr, Asheville, NC 28801 USA
[11] Agence Natl Meteorol & Teledetect Satellite, Kinshasa, DEM REP CONGO
[12] Direct Gen Aviat Civile & Meteorol, Bangui, Cent Afr Republ
[13] Meteorol Serv Canada, Climate Res Branch, Downsview, ON M3H 5T4, Canada
关键词
RIVER DISCHARGE; F-TEST; CLIMATE;
D O I
10.1029/2008JD011010
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Understanding how extremes are changing globally, regionally, and locally is an important first step for planning appropriate adaptation measures, as changes in extremes have major impacts. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's synthesis of global extremes was not able to say anything about western central Africa, as no analysis of the region was available nor was there an adequate internationally exchanged long-term daily data set available to use for analysis of extremes. This paper presents the first analysis of extremes in this climatically important region along with analysis of Guinea Conakry and Zimbabwe. As per many other parts of the world, the analysis shows a decrease in cold extremes and an increase in warm extremes. However, while the majority of the analyzed world has shown an increase in heavy precipitation over the last half century, central Africa showed a decrease. Furthermore, the companion analysis of Guinea Conakry and Zimbabwe showed no significant increases.
引用
收藏
页数:11
相关论文
共 25 条
[11]  
Osborn T. J., 1997, Dendrochronologia, V15, P89
[12]  
Parmesan C, 2000, B AM METEOROL SOC, V81, P443, DOI 10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0443:IOEWAC>2.3.CO
[13]  
2
[14]  
Peterson T.C., 2008, Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate. Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, P11
[15]   Monitoring changes in climate extremes - A tale of international collaboration [J].
Peterson, Thomas C. ;
Manton, Michael J. .
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2008, 89 (09) :1266-1271
[16]  
SEN PK, 1968, J AM STAT ASSOC, V63, P1379
[17]   Accounting for autocorrelation in detecting mean shifts in climate data series using the penalized maximal t or F test [J].
Wang, Xiaolan L. .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY, 2008, 47 (09) :2423-2444
[18]   Penalized maximal F test for detecting undocumented mean shift without trend change [J].
Wang, Xiaolan L. .
JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY, 2008, 25 (03) :368-384
[19]  
Wang XL, 2003, J CLIMATE, V16, P3383, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<3383:CODOUC>2.0.CO
[20]  
2