Hypothetical knowledge and counterfactual reasoning

被引:13
作者
Halpern, JY [1 ]
机构
[1] Cornell Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
关键词
counterfactuals; knowledge; backwards induction solution;
D O I
10.1007/s001820050113
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Samet introduced a notion of hypothetical knowledge and showed how it could be used to capture the type of counterfactual reasoning necessary to force the backwards induction solution in a game of perfect information. He argued that while hypothetical knowledge and the extended information structures used to model it bear some resemblance to the way philosophers have used conditional logic to model counterfactuals, hypothetical knowledge cannot be reduced to conditional logic together with epistemic logic. Here it is shown that in fact hypothetical knowledge can be captured using the standard counterfactual operator ">" and the knowledge operator "K", provided that some assumptions are made regarding the interaction between the two. It is argued, however, that these assumptions are unreasonable in general, as are the axioms that follow from them. Some implications for game theory are discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:315 / 330
页数:16
相关论文
共 12 条
[1]  
ARLOCOSTA H, 1998, THEORETICAL ASPECTS, P187
[2]   BACKWARD INDUCTION AND COMMON KNOWLEDGE OF RATIONALITY [J].
AUMANN, RJ .
GAMES AND ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR, 1995, 8 (01) :6-19
[3]  
BINMORE K, 1996, P 4 C THEOR ASP REAS, P150
[4]  
CLAUSING T, 1998, UNPUB NOTE HYPOTHETI
[5]  
HALPERN JY, 1998, IN PRESS ANN MATH AR
[6]   NONMONOTONIC REASONING, PREFERENTIAL MODELS AND CUMULATIVE LOGICS [J].
KRAUS, S ;
LEHMANN, D ;
MAGIDOR, M .
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 1990, 44 (1-2) :167-207
[7]  
Lewis D., 1973, Counterfactuals
[8]   Hypothetical knowledge and games with perfect information [J].
Samet, D .
GAMES AND ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR, 1996, 17 (02) :230-251
[9]  
SAMET D, 1994, UNPUB LOGIC HYPOTHET
[10]  
Stalnaker RC, 1968, STUDIES LOGICAL THEO