Bcl-2 is an independent prognostic factor and adds to a biological model for predicting outcome in operable non-small cell lung cancer

Introduction: The underlying biology of a tumour may hold the key to predicting the outcome for an individual patient as well as identifying potential therapeutic targets. Using epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-9 immunoexpression combined with microvessel counts we have developed a prognostic model for operable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) which predicts outcome independent of stage (Thorax, 56 (2001) 561-566). The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of bcl-2 expression upon survival in this model. Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of 167 patients with resected stage I-IIIa NSCLC and >60 days post-operative survival. Minimum follow-up was 2 years. Immunohistochemistry was performed on paraffin-embedded tissue sections for bcl-2, EGFR, MMP-9 and the microvessel marker CD34 to evaluate the relationships between, and impact on survival of, these biological markers. Results: Tumour cell MMP-9 (P=0.002), microvessel count > median (P=0.01), bcl-2 (P=0.02) and stage (P=0.02) were independent prognostic factors. Bcl-2 expression was associated with an improved survival in all sub-groups of our prognostic model. Conclusion: bcl-2, EGFR and MMP-9 expression and angiogenesis provide prognostic information independent of TNM stage. Prognostic models offer the potential of tailoring the therapeutic management for an individual patient. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.