Improving the performance of an economic system: Controlling chaos

被引:50
作者
Kopel, M [1 ]
机构
[1] CORNELL UNIV,DEPT ECON,ITHACA,NY 14853
关键词
cobweb models; bounded rationality; controlling chaos;
D O I
10.1007/s001910050044
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper we use a simple model of evolutionary market dynamics to illustrate how chaotic behavior can be controlled by making small changes in a parameter that is accessible to the decision makers. This approach is commonly referred to as 'targeting' - one can easily switch from a chaotic evolution of the market to any desired regular motion. We show that complex dynamics leads to inferior performance in our model and that an application of such a correction mechanism by the decision makers of the firms yields a considerable improvement in the system's economical properties in terms of profits and profitability. We present numerical simulations in order to illustrate the effectiveness of this method.
引用
收藏
页码:269 / 289
页数:21
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