Inoperability Input-Output Model for Interdependent Infrastructure Sectors. II: Case Studies

被引：108

作者：

Haimes, Yacov Y. ^{[1
,2
]}

Horowitz, Barry M. ^{[1
]}

Lambert, James H. ^{[1
,3
]}

Santos, Joost ^{[1
]}

Crowther, Kenneth ^{[1
]}

Lian, Chenyang ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Virginia, Dept Syst & Informat Engn, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA

[2] Univ Virginia, Dept Civil Engn, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA

[3] Univ Virginia, Ctr Risk Management Engn Syst, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF INFRASTRUCTURE SYSTEMS | 2005年 / 11卷 / 02期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

Interactive systems; Dynamic analysis; Economic factors; Electric power output; Terrorism; Regional analysis; Case reports; Infrastructure;

D O I：

10.1061/(ASCE)1076-0342(2005)11:2(80)

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 ;

摘要：

The paper discusses case studies of the inoperability input-output model (IIM) for modeling impacts of willful attacks on interdependent sectors. The IIM is a model for assessing sector vulnerabilities using the inoperability and economic loss impact metrics. The case studies focus on high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) attack scenarios. HEMP is an intense electromagnetic blast induced from high-elevation nuclear explosions, potentially causing damage to electronic and electrical systems. Parametric and uncertainty analyses are conducted for assessing (1) intensity of initial disruptions, (2) sector recovery characteristics, (3) economic loss reduction policies for critical sectors, and (4) regional scope of an attack. Sectors susceptible to a HEMP attack have been identified, including electric power, electronic equipment, and workforce. Trade-off analyses are performed to analyze the efficacy of resource allocation strategies associated with recovery. Recommendations from this paper include developing cost-benefit-risk balanced solutions for managing and expediting recovery time from potential terrorist attacks.

引用

页码：80 / 92

页数：13