Comment on "Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment"

被引：156

作者：

Chan, JCL ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Phys & Mat Sci, Lab Atmospher Res, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

来源：

SCIENCE | 2006年 / 311卷 / 5768期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1126/science.1121522

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Analyses of tropical cyclone records from the western North Pacific reveal that the recent increase in occurrence of intense typhoons reported by Webster et al. (Reports, 16 Sep. 2005, p. 1844) is not a trend. Rather, it is likely a part of the large interdecadal variations in the number of intense typhoons related to similar temporal fluctuations in the atmospheric environment.

引用

页数：2

共 5 条

[1] Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity and ENSO
Camargo, SJ
Sobel, AH
[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2005, 18 (15) : 2996 - 3006
[2] Global warming and western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective
Chan, JCL
Liu, KS
[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2004, 17 (23) : 4590 - 4602
[3] Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years
Emanuel, K
[J]. NATURE, 2005, 436 (7051) : 686 - 688
[4] Uncertainty in hurricanes and global warming
Trenberth, K
[J]. SCIENCE, 2005, 308 (5729) : 1753 - 1754
[5] Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment
Webster, PJ
Holland, GJ
Curry, JA
Chang, HR
[J]. SCIENCE, 2005, 309 (5742) : 1844 - 1846

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