Time-to-build and cycles

被引:82
作者
Asea, PK
Zak, PJ
机构
[1] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Econ, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA
[2] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Claremont Grad Sch, Dept Econ, Claremont, CA 91711 USA
[4] IMF, Dept Res, Washington, DC 20431 USA
关键词
business cycles; growth model; time-to-build; optimality; Hopf cycles;
D O I
10.1016/S0165-1889(98)00052-9
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We analyze the dynamics of a simple growth model in which production occurs with a delay while new capital is installed (time-to-build). The time-to-build technology is shown to yield a system of functional (delay) differential equations with a unique steady state. We demonstrate that the steady state, though typically a saddle, may exhibit Hopf cycles. Furthermore, the optimal path to the steady state is oscillatory! A counterexample to the claim that 'models with a time-to-build technology are not intrinsically oscillatory' is provided. We also provide a primer on the central technical apparatus - the mathematics of functional differential equations. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: E32; C61.
引用
收藏
页码:1155 / 1175
页数:21
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