MONITORING AND UNDERSTANDING TRENDS IN EXTREME STORMS State of Knowledge

被引：417

作者：

Kunkel, Kenneth E. ^{[1
,2
]}

Karl, Thomas R. ^{[1
]}

Brooks, Harold ^{[3
]}

Kossin, James ^{[1
]}

Lawrimore, Jay H. ^{[1
]}

Arndt, Derek ^{[1
]}

Bosart, Lance ^{[4
]}

Changnon, David ^{[5
]}

Cutter, Susan L. ^{[6
]}

Doesken, Nolan ^{[7
]}

Emanuel, Kerr Y. ^{[8
]}

Groisman, Pavel Ya ^{[1
]}

Katz, Richard W. ^{[9
]}

Knutson, Thomas ^{[10
]}

O'Brien, James ^{[11
]}

Paciorek, Christopher J. ^{[12
]}

Peterson, Thomas C. ^{[1
]}

Redmond, Kelly ^{[13
]}

Robinson, David ^{[14
]}

Trapp, Jeff ^{[15
]}

Vose, Russell ^{[1
]}

Weaver, Scott ^{[16
]}

Wehner, Michael ^{[17
]}

Wolter, Klaus ^{[18
,19
]}

Wuebbles, Donald ^{[20
]}

机构：

[1] NOAA, Natl Climat Data Ctr, Asheville, NC USA

[2] N Carolina State Univ, Cooperat Inst Climate & Satellites, Asheville, NC USA

[3] NOAA, Natl Severe Storms Lab, Norman, OK 73069 USA

[4] SUNY Albany, Albany, NY 12222 USA

[5] No Illinois Univ, De Kalb, IL 60115 USA

[6] Univ S Carolina, Dept Geog, Hazards & Vulnerabil Res Inst, Columbia, SC 29208 USA

[7] Colorado State Univ, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA

[8] MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA

[9] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA

[10] NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA

[11] Florida State Univ, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA

[12] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Stat, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

[13] Univ Nevada, Desert Res Inst, Reno, NV 89506 USA

[14] Rutgers State Univ, New Brunswick, NJ 08903 USA

[15] Purdue Univ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA

[16] NOAA, Climate Predict Ctr, College Pk, MD USA

[17] Univ Calif Berkeley, Lawrence Berkeley Natl Lab, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

[18] Univ Colorado, CIRES Climate Diagnost Ctr, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[19] NOAA, ESRL, Div Phys Sci, Boulder, CO USA

[20] Univ Illinois, Urbana, IL USA

来源：

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | 2013年 / 94卷 / 04期

基金：

美国海洋和大气管理局;

关键词：

CONTIGUOUS UNITED-STATES; INTENSE PRECIPITATION; SEVERE THUNDERSTORM; TROPICAL CYCLONES; FREEZING RAIN; CLIMATE; TEMPERATURE; ATLANTIC; OSCILLATION; VARIABILITY;

D O I：

10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00262.1

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

Review of the climate science for severe convective storms, extreme precipitation, hurricanes and typhoons, and severe snowstorms and ice storms in the US shows that the ability to detect and attribute trends varies, depending on the phenomenon. A specific subset of extreme weather and climate types affecting the country is discussed to examine these extreme weather conditions. The categories of storms described were selected as they caused property damage and loss of life. The identification of an extreme occurrence was based on meteorological properties in place of the destructiveness. The primary purpose was to examine the scientific evidence for the prevailing capability to detect trends and understand their causes for certain weather types, including severe convective storms and hurricanes and typhoons.

引用

页码：499 / 514

页数：16

共 101 条

[91] Effect of remote sea surface temperature change on tropical cyclone potential intensity [J].

Vecchi, Gabriel A. ;

Soden, Brian J. .

NATURE, 2007, 450 (7172) :1066-U9

[92] Estimating Annual Numbers of Atlantic Hurricanes Missing from the HURDAT Database (1878-1965) Using Ship Track Density [J].

Vecchi, Gabriel A. ;

Knutson, Thomas R. .

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2011, 24 (06) :1736-1746

[93] Evolution of the US tornado database: 1954-2003 [J].

Verbout, SM ;

Brooks, HE ;

Leslie, LM ;

Schultz, DM .

WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2006, 21 (01) :86-93

[94] On the stationarity of annual flood peaks in the continental United States during the 20th century [J].

Villarini, Gabriele ;

Serinaldi, Francesco ;

Smith, James A. ;

Krajewski, Witold F. .

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2009, 45

[95] Attribution of observed surface humidity changes to human influence [J].

Willett, Katharine M. ;

Gillett, Nathan P. ;

Jones, Philip D. ;

Thorne, Peter W. .

NATURE, 2007, 449 (7163) :710-U6

[96] El Nino/Southern Oscillation behaviour since 1871 as diagnosed in an extended multivariate ENSO index (MEI.ext) [J].

Wolter, Klaus ;

Timlin, Michael S. .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2011, 31 (07) :1074-1087

[97] Compatibility evaluation of national precipitation gage measurements [J].

Yang, DQ ;

Goodison, B ;

Metcalfe, J ;

Louie, P ;

Elomaa, E ;

Hanson, C ;

Golubev, V ;

Gunther, T ;

Milkovic, J ;

Lapin, M .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2001, 106 (D2) :1481-1491

[98]

Yang DQ, 1998, J ATMOS OCEAN TECH, V15, P54, DOI 10.1175/1520-0426(1998)015<0054:AONSNP>2.0.CO

[99]

[100] Anticorrelated multidecadal variations between surface and subsurface tropical North Atlantic [J].

Zhang, Rong .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2007, 34 (12)

← 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 →