Consistent land- and atmosphere-based US carbon sink estimates

被引:647
作者
Pacala, SW [1 ]
Hurtt, GC
Baker, D
Peylin, P
Houghton, RA
Birdsey, RA
Heath, L
Sundquist, ET
Stallard, RF
Ciais, P
Moorcroft, P
Caspersen, JP
Shevliakova, E
Moore, B
Kohlmaier, G
Holland, E
Gloor, M
Harmon, ME
Fan, SM
Sarmiento, JL
Goodale, CL
Schimel, D
Field, CB
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[3] Univ New Hampshire, Inst Study Earth Oceans & Space, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Durham, NH 03824 USA
[4] Woods Hole Res Ctr, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[5] UPMC, Biogeochim Isotop Lab, CNRS, INRA, Paris, France
[6] US Forest Serv, USDA, Newtown Sq, PA 19073 USA
[7] US Geol Survey, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[8] US Geol Survey, Div Water Resources, Boulder, CO 80303 USA
[9] CEA Saclay, LSCE, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France
[10] Goethe Univ Frankfurt, Zentrum Umweltforsch, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany
[11] Max Planck Inst Biogeochem, D-07745 Jena, Germany
[12] Oregon State Univ, Dept Forest Sci, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA
[13] Carnegie Inst Sci, Dept Plant Biol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.1057320
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
For the period 1980-89, we estimate a carbon sink in the coterminous United States between 0.30 and 0.58 petagrams of carbon per year (petagrams of carbon = 10(15) grams of carbon). The net carbon flux from the atmosphere to the Land was higher, 0.37 to 0.71 petagrams of carbon per year, because a net flux of 0.07 to 0.13 petagrams of carbon per year was exported by rivers and commerce and returned to the atmosphere elsewhere. These Land-based estimates are Larger than those from previous studies (0.08 to 0.35 petagrams of carbon per year) because of the inclusion of additional processes and revised estimates of some component fluxes. Although component estimates are uncertain, about one-half of the total is outside the forest sector. We also estimated the sink using atmospheric models and the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide (the tracer-transport inversion method). The range of results from the atmosphere-based inversions contains the Land-based estimates. Atmosphere- and land-based estimates are thus consistent, within the Large ranges of uncertainty for both methods. Atmosphere-based results for 1980-89 are similar to those for 1985-89 and 1990-94, indicating a relatively stable U.S. sink throughout the period.
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收藏
页码:2316 / 2320
页数:5
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