Long time memory in global warming simulations

被引:97
作者
Blender, R [1 ]
Fraedrich, K [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Hamburg, Inst Meteorol, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
关键词
long time memory; scenario simulations;
D O I
10.1029/2003GL017666
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
[1] Global power law scaling of near surface temperature spectra is determined in two scenario simulations and in NCEP re-analyses. The simulations use the coupled atmosphere-ocean models HadCM3 and ECHAM4/OPYC with greenhouse gas increase according to scenario IS92a in 1860-2099. Observations show a low-frequency power spectrum S(f) similar to 1/f over the oceans, a white spectrum in the inner continents, and S(f) similar to f(-0.3) in the coastal areas. The global distribution of the power law exponents is reproduced in the two simulations even in the 21st century with a pronounced temperature increase.
引用
收藏
页码:CLM7 / 1
页数:4
相关论文
共 23 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], IPCC CLIMATE CHANGE
[2]   Scaling of atmosphere and ocean temperature correlations in observations and climate models [J].
Fraedrich, K ;
Blender, R .
PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS, 2003, 90 (10) :4
[3]   The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments [J].
Gordon, C ;
Cooper, C ;
Senior, CA ;
Banks, H ;
Gregory, JM ;
Johns, TC ;
Mitchell, JFB ;
Wood, RA .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2000, 16 (2-3) :147-168
[4]   Global climate models violate scaling of the observed atmospheric variability [J].
Govindan, RB ;
Vyushin, D ;
Bunde, A ;
Brenner, S ;
Havlin, S ;
Schellnhuber, HJ .
PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS, 2002, 89 (02)
[5]   A FRACTAL ANALYSIS OF QUATERNARY, CENOZOIC-MESOZOIC, AND LATE PENNSYLVANIAN SEA-LEVEL CHANGES [J].
HSUI, AT ;
RUST, KA ;
KLEIN, GD .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, 1993, 98 (B12) :21963-21967
[6]  
*INT PAN CLIM CHAN, 2001, CLIM CHANG 2001 SCI
[7]  
Kalnay E, 1996, B AM METEOROL SOC, V77, P437, DOI 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO
[8]  
2
[9]   Indication of a universal persistence law governing atmospheric variability [J].
Koscielny-Bunde, E ;
Bunde, A ;
Havlin, S ;
Roman, HE ;
Goldreich, Y ;
Schellnhuber, HJ .
PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS, 1998, 81 (03) :729-732
[10]   Long-term persistence in the sea surface temperature fluctuations [J].
Monetti, RA ;
Havlin, S ;
Bunde, A .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2003, 320 :581-589