Population management: potential impacts of advances in genomics

Even with advanced gene technologies continued population improvement remains a key foundation for future genetic gain in forest trees. Currently, this is served by maintaining genetic diversity while capturing genetic improvement, often through structuring populations into a genetic hierarchy, setting population sizes, and managing pedigrees and inbreeding. In the future, information from genomic technologies will complement classical approaches, such as common-garden field experiments, for characterizing the genetic base and measuring and monitoring genetic diversity. This will entail directly measuring DNA sequence diversity of both selectively neutral markers and functional genes. Calibrating neutral marker diversity against functional diversity will become easier with functional genomics. For maintaining pedigree and managing inbreeding, genomic information can be used to relax some traditional tenets of population management. With future knowledge of functional polymorphisms, the better understanding of the nature and origins of genetic variation should enhance management of populations to both conserve genetic diversity and exploit it by more efficient selection. Where fungal diseases threaten biotic crises, very large populations may be needed, the requisite sizes often being very uncertain. Gene discovery holds enormous promise, but depends heavily on comparative genomics, capitalizing on genomic information from Arabidopsis, Populus and Eucalyptus, and the increasing numbers of accessible ESTs. Much greater insights into non-codon mutational processes and rates should also guide population management. A key challenge, however, will be to utilize information and apply tools cost-effectively. Also, very detailed genomic information, exemplified by the poplar-genome sequencing, may allow earlier adaptation of technology and development of new information in angiosperms than in gymnosperms.