Forest fires: An example of self-organized critical behavior

被引:436
作者
Malamud, BD [1 ]
Morein, G [1 ]
Turcotte, DL [1 ]
机构
[1] Cornell Univ, Dept Geol Sci, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.281.5384.1840
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Despite the many complexities concerning their initiation and propagation, forest fires exhibit power-law frequency-area statistics over many orders of magnitude. A simple forest fire model, which is an example of self-organized criticality, exhibits similar behavior. One practical implication of this result is that the frequency-area distribution of small and medium fires can be used to quantify the risk of Large fires, as is routinely done for earthquakes.
引用
收藏
页码:1840 / 1842
页数:3
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