New technology trends in education: Seven years of forecasts and convergence

被引:236
作者
Martin, Sergio [1 ]
Diaz, Gabriel [1 ]
Sancristobal, Elio [1 ]
Gil, Rosario [1 ]
Castro, Manuel [1 ]
Peire, Juan [1 ]
机构
[1] Spanish Univ Distance Educ UNED, Elect & Comp Engn Dept, Madrid 28040, Spain
关键词
Technology trends; Education; Forecasts; Social web; Mobile and ubiquitous devices; Augmented reality; Semantic web; Immersive environments; Learning objects; DESIGN; SYSTEM; GAME; BIBLIOMETRICS; TEACH;
D O I
10.1016/j.compedu.2011.04.003
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
Each year since 2004, a new Horizon Report has been released. Each edition attempts to forecast the most promising technologies likely to impact on education along three horizons: the short term (the year of the report), the mid-term (the next 2 years) and the long term (the next 4 years). This paper analyzes the evolution of technology trends from 2004 to 2014 that correspond to the long-term predictions of the most recent Horizon Report. The study analyzes through bibliometric analysis which technologies were successful and became a regular part of education systems, which ones failed to have the predicted impact and why, and the shape of technology flows in recent years. The study also shows how the evolution and maturity of some technologies allowed the revival of expectations for others. The analysis here, which focuses on educational applications, offers guidelines that may be helpful to those seeking to invest in new research areas. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1893 / 1906
页数:14
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