Medical treatment and traffic fatality reductions in industrialized countries

被引:50
作者
Noland, RB [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ctr Transport Studies, London SW7 2BU, England
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
traffic-related fatalities; International Road and Traffic Accident Database; negative binomial model; medical technology;
D O I
10.1016/S0001-4575(02)00093-3
中图分类号
TB18 [人体工程学];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
Reductions in traffic-related fatalities in developed industrialized countries have been substantial in the last 30 years. Most analyses have attributed this reduction to changes in vehicle design, better road design, increased seat-belt use, and reductions in driving under the influence of alcohol. This paper analyses the impact of improvements in medical treatment and technology. Data from the International Road and Traffic Accident Database (IRTAD), which includes all developed countries, was used in combination with Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Health Care data. Using proxy measures to account for improvements in medical treatment and technology it is found that these proxy variables are significant and capture much of the residual time trend in the data when they are omitted. Changes in age cohorts, such as fewer young people, also have contributed to a reduction in fatalities. These results suggest that medical technology improvements are associated with reductions in traffic-related fatalities over time. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:877 / 883
页数:7
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