Principles of QSAR models validation: internal and external

被引:1726
作者
Gramatica, Paola [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Insubria, QSAR Res Unit Environm Chem & Ecotoxicol, Dept Struct & Funct Biol, I-21100 Varese, Italy
来源
QSAR & COMBINATORIAL SCIENCE | 2007年 / 26卷 / 05期
关键词
external validation; internal validation; OECD principles; predictivity; quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSAR);
D O I
10.1002/qsar.200610151
中图分类号
R914 [药物化学];
学科分类号
100701 ;
摘要
The recent REACH Policy of the European Union has led to scientists and regulators to focus their attention on establishing general validation principles for QSAR models in the context of chemical regulation (previously known as the Setubal, nowadays, the OECD principles). This paper gives a brief analysis of some principles: unambiguous algorithm, Applicability Domain (AD), and statistical validation. Some concerns related to QSAR algorithm reproducibility and an example of a fast check of the applicability domain for MLR models are presented. Common myths and misconceptions related to popular techniques for verifying internal predictivity, particularly for MLR models (for instance cross-validation, bootstrap), are commented on and compared with commonly used statistical techniques for external validation. The differences in the two validating approaches are highlighted, and evidence is presented that only models that have been validated externally, after their internal validation, can be considered reliable and applicable for both external prediction and regulatory purposes.
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页码:694 / 701
页数:8
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