Labor force participation and human capital increases in an aging population and implications for US research investment

被引:31
作者
Manton, Kenneth G. [1 ]
Lowrimore, Gene R.
Ullian, Arthur D.
Gu, XiLiang
Tolley, H. Dennis
机构
[1] Duke Univ, Durham, NC 27708 USA
[2] Natl Council Spinal Cord Injury Assoc, Boston, MA 02458 USA
[3] Brigham Young Univ, Dept Stat, Provo, UT 84602 USA
关键词
disability declines; national long term care survey;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.0704185104
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 [理学]; 0710 [生物学]; 09 [农学];
摘要
The proportion of the United States labor force :65 years of age is projected to increase between 2004 and 2014 by the passing of age 65 of the large post-World War 11 baby boom cohorts starting in 2010 and their greater longevity, income, education, and health [Toossi M (2005) Mon Labor Rev 128(11):25-44]. The aging of the U.S. labor force will continue to at least 2034, when the largest of the baby boom cohorts reaches age 70. Thus, the average health and functional capacity of persons age 65+ must improve for sufficient numbers of elderly persons to be physically and cognitively capable of work. This will require greater investments in research, public health, and health care. We examine how disability declines and improved health may increase human capital at later ages and stimulate the growth of gross domestic product and national wealth.
引用
收藏
页码:10802 / 10807
页数:6
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