Power laws and macroeconomic fluctuations

被引:14
作者
Gaffeo, E
Gallegati, M
Giulioni, G
Palestrini, A
机构
[1] Univ Ancona, Dept Econ, I-62100 Ancona, Italy
[2] Univ Udine, Dept Econ, I-33100 Udine, Italy
关键词
econophysics;
D O I
10.1016/S0378-4371(02)01891-5
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We study the duration distribution of recessions and recoveries occurred in a pool of industrialized countries during the last 120 years. We find that for recessions the duration is distributed according to a power law, and that the power exponent is virtually invariant as we split up the time span into sub-periods. The evidence regarding the duration of recoveries is mixed, however. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:408 / 416
页数:9
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