Short-term hydropower production planning by stochastic programming

被引:136
作者
Fleten, Stein-Erik [2 ]
Kristoffersen, Trine Krogh [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Aarhus, Dept Operat Res, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
[2] Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Ind Econ & Technol Management, NO-7491 Trondheim, Norway
关键词
OR in energy; hydropower; stochastic programming; scenarios;
D O I
10.1016/j.cor.2006.12.022
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
Within the framework of multi-stage mixed-integer linear stochastic programming we develop a short-term production plan for a price-taking hydropower plant operating under uncertainty. Current production must comply with the day-ahead commitments of the previous day which makes short-term production planning a matter of spatial distribution among the reservoirs of the plant. Day-ahead market prices and reservoir inflows are, however, uncertain beyond the current operation day and water must be allocated among the reservoirs in order to strike a balance between current profits and expected future profits. A demonstration is presented with data from a Norwegian hydropower producer and the Nordic power market at Nord Pool. (C) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2656 / 2671
页数:16
相关论文
共 48 条
  • [1] BARTOLINI P, 1985, PROPERTIES MULTIVARI
  • [2] Birge J.R., 1997, INTRO STOCHASTIC PRO
  • [3] Box G. E. P, 1970, TIME SERIES ANAL FOR
  • [4] CAMACHO F, 1983, 8312 U W ONT
  • [5] Caroe C., 1998, 9811 SC KONR ZUS ZEN
  • [6] CAROE CC, 1999, OPER RES LETT, V24, P27
  • [7] Self-scheduling of a hydro producer in a pool-based electricity market
    Conejo, AJ
    Arroyo, JM
    Contreras, J
    Villamor, FA
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2002, 17 (04) : 1265 - 1272
  • [8] ARIMA models to predict next-day electricity prices
    Contreras, J
    Espínola, R
    Nogales, FJ
    Conejo, AJ
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2003, 18 (03) : 1014 - 1020
  • [9] Duality gaps in nonconvex stochastic optimization
    Dentcheva, D
    Römisch, W
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING, 2004, 101 (03) : 515 - 535
  • [10] Dentcheva D, 1998, LECT NOTES ECON MATH, V458, P22