Invasion threshold in heterogeneous metapopulation networks

被引:243
作者
Colizza, Vittoria [1 ]
Vespignani, Alessandro
机构
[1] Inst Sci Interchange, Complex Networks Lagrange Lab, I-10133 Turin, Italy
[2] Indiana Univ, Sch Informat, Complex Syst Grp, Bloomington, IN 47406 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevLett.99.148701
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We study the dynamics of epidemic and reaction-diffusion processes in metapopulation models with heterogeneous connectivity patterns. In susceptible-infected-removed-like processes, along with the standard local epidemic threshold, the system exhibits a global invasion threshold. We provide an explicit expression of the threshold that sets a critical value of the diffusion/mobility rate below, which the epidemic is not able to spread to a macroscopic fraction of subpopulations. The invasion threshold is found to be affected by the topological fluctuations of the metapopulation network. The results presented provide a general framework for the understanding of the effect of travel restrictions in epidemic containment.
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页数:4
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