An integrated methodology for recording uncertainties about environmental data

被引:29
作者
Brown, JD
Heuvelink, GBM
Refsgaard, JC
机构
[1] Univ Amsterdam, Inst Biodivers Ecosyst Dynam, NL-1018 TV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Univ Wageningen & Res Ctr, ALTERRA, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands
[3] Univ Wageningen & Res Ctr, Lab Soil Sci & Geol, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands
[4] Geol Survey Denmark & Greenland, GEUS, DK-1350 Copenhagen, Denmark
关键词
environmental data; possibility; probability; uncertainty analysis;
D O I
10.2166/wst.2005.0163
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Understanding the limitations of environmental data is essential both for managing environmental systems effectively and for encouraging the responsible use of scientific research when knowledge is limited and priorities are varied. Using a combination of quantitative and qualitative techniques for assessing probabilities, and acknowledging the importance of scenarios where probabilities cannot be determined, an integrated methodology is presented for handling uncertainties about environmental data. The methodology is based on a fourfold distinction between the empirical quality of data (and the ancillary information, such as 'scale', required to interpret this), the sources of uncertainty in data, the 'fitness for use' of the data, and the quality or 'goodness' of an uncertainty model.
引用
收藏
页码:153 / 160
页数:8
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