Significance tests as sorcery: Science is empirical-significance tests are not

被引:89
作者
Lambdin, Charles [1 ]
机构
[1] Intel Corp Ronler Acres, Hillsboro, OR 97124 USA
关键词
controversy; effect size; meta-analysis; null hypothesis; practical significance; replication; science; significance; statistics; STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE TESTS; PSYCHOLOGICAL-RESEARCH; NULL-HYPOTHESIS; CUMULATIVE KNOWLEDGE; CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS; P-VALUES; PREDICTION; INFERENCE; POWER; INSIGNIFICANCE;
D O I
10.1177/0959354311429854
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
Since the 1930s, many of our top methodologists have argued that significance tests are not conducive to science. Bakan (1966) believed that "everyone knows this" and that we slavishly lean on the crutch of significance testing because, if we didn't, much of psychology would simply fall apart. If he was right, then significance testing is tantamount to psychology's "dirty little secret." This paper will revisit and summarize the arguments of those who have been trying to tell us-for more than 70 years-that p values are not empirical. If these arguments are sound, then the continuing popularity of significance tests in our peer-reviewed journals is at best embarrassing and at worst intellectually dishonest.
引用
收藏
页码:67 / 90
页数:24
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