How much more rain will global warming bring?

被引:756
作者
Wentz, Frank J. [1 ]
Ricciardulli, Lucrezia [1 ]
Hilburn, Kyle [1 ]
Mears, Carl [1 ]
机构
[1] Remote Sensing Syst, Santa Rosa, CA 95401 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.1140746
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Climate models and satellite observations both indicate that the total amount of water in the atmosphere will increase at a rate of 7% per kelvin of surface warming. However, the climate models predict that global precipitation will increase at a much slower rate of 1 to 3% per kelvin. A recent analysis of satellite observations does not support this prediction of a muted response of precipitation to global warming. Rather, the observations suggest that precipitation and total atmospheric water have increased at about the same rate over the past two decades.
引用
收藏
页码:233 / 235
页数:3
相关论文
共 20 条
  • [11] How much more global warming and sea level rise?
    Meehl, GA
    Washington, WM
    Collins, WD
    Arblaster, JM
    Hu, AX
    Buja, LE
    Strand, WG
    Teng, HY
    [J]. SCIENCE, 2005, 307 (5716) : 1769 - 1772
  • [12] ON CO2 CLIMATE SENSITIVITY AND MODEL DEPENDENCE OF RESULTS
    MITCHELL, JFB
    WILSON, CA
    CUNNINGTON, WM
    [J]. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 1987, 113 (475) : 293 - 322
  • [13] PEIXOTO JP, 1992, PHYS CLIMATE, P170
  • [14] A global merged land-air-sea surface temperature reconstruction based on historical observations (1880-1997)
    Smith, TM
    Reynolds, RW
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2005, 18 (12) : 2021 - 2036
  • [15] Soden BJ, 2000, J CLIMATE, V13, P538, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<0538:TSOTTH>2.0.CO
  • [16] 2
  • [17] Trends and variability in column-integrated atmospheric water vapor
    Trenberth, KE
    Fasullo, J
    Smith, L
    [J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2005, 24 (7-8) : 741 - 758
  • [18] Weakening of tropical Pacific atmospheric circulation due to anthropogenic forcing
    Vecchi, GA
    Soden, BJ
    Wittenberg, AT
    Held, IM
    Leetmaa, A
    Harrison, MJ
    [J]. NATURE, 2006, 441 (7089) : 73 - 76
  • [19] Precise climate monitoring using complementary satellite data sets
    Wentz, FJ
    Schabel, M
    [J]. NATURE, 2000, 403 (6768) : 414 - 416
  • [20] A well-calibrated ocean algorithm for special sensor microwave/imager
    Wentz, FJ
    [J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 1997, 102 (C4): : 8703 - 8718