The global transmission of volatility in the foreign exchange market

被引:66
作者
Melvin, M
Melvin, BP [1 ]
机构
[1] Arizona State Univ, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
[2] Amer Express Co, Jersey City, NJ USA
关键词
D O I
10.1162/003465303322369803
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Volatility spillovers of the DM/$ and Y/$ exchange rate across regional markets are examined using the integrated volatility of high-frequency data. An analysis of quoting patterns reveals five distinct regions: Asia, Asia-Europe overlap, Europe, Europe-America overlap, and America. After reviewing theoretical foundations for persistence of volatility in dealership markets, regional volatility models are constructed where volatility in one region is a function of yesterday's volatility in that region ("heat-wave effect") and volatility in other regions ("meteor-shower effect"). Evidence of statistically significant effects is found for both own-region and interregional spillovers, but the economic significance of own-region spillovers indicates that heat waves are more important than meteor showers.
引用
收藏
页码:670 / 679
页数:10
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