How well do coupled models simulate today's climate?

被引:689
作者
Reichler, Thomas [1 ]
Kim, Junsu [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Utah, Dept Meteorol, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1175/BAMS-89-3-303
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Information about climate and how it responds to increased greenhouse gas concentrations depends heavily on insight gained from numerical simulations by coupled climate models. The confidence placed in quantitative estimates of the rate and magnitude of future climate change is therefore strongly related to the quality of these models. In this study, we test the realism of several generations of coupled climate models, including those used for the 1995, 2001, and 2007 reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). By validating against observations of present climate, we show that the coupled models have been steadily improving over time and that the best models are converging toward a level of accuracy that is similar to observation-based analyses of the atmosphere.
引用
收藏
页码:303 / +
页数:10
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