Dreary state of precipitation in global models

被引:551
作者
Stephens, Graeme L. [1 ]
L'Ecuyer, Tristan [1 ]
Forbes, Richard [3 ]
Gettelman, Andrew [4 ]
Golaz, Jean-Christophe [5 ]
Bodas-Salcedo, Alejandro [2 ]
Suzuki, Kentaroh [1 ]
Gabriel, Philip [1 ]
Haynes, John [6 ]
机构
[1] Colorado State Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
[2] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England
[3] European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
[4] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
[5] Princeton Univ, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ 08542 USA
[6] Monash Univ, Melbourne, Vic 3004, Australia
关键词
CLIMATE SYSTEM; DIURNAL CYCLE; PROFILING ALGORITHM; FREQUENCY; TOOL;
D O I
10.1029/2010JD014532
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
New, definitive measures of precipitation frequency provided by CloudSat are used to assess the realism of global model precipitation. The character of liquid precipitation (defined as a combination of accumulation, frequency, and intensity) over the global oceans is significantly different from the character of liquid precipitation produced by global weather and climate models. Five different models are used in this comparison representing state-of-the-art weather prediction models, state-of-the-art climate models, and the emerging high-resolution global cloud "resolving" models. The differences between observed and modeled precipitation are larger than can be explained by observational retrieval errors or by the inherent sampling differences between observations and models. We show that the time integrated accumulations of precipitation produced by models closely match observations when globally composited. However, these models produce precipitation approximately twice as often as that observed and make rainfall far too lightly. This finding reinforces similar findings from other studies based on surface accumulated rainfall measurements. The implications of this dreary state of model depiction of the real world are discussed.
引用
收藏
页数:13
相关论文
共 47 条
[21]  
Kummerow C, 1998, J ATMOS OCEAN TECH, V15, P809, DOI 10.1175/1520-0426(1998)015<0809:TTRMMT>2.0.CO
[22]  
2
[23]  
Kummerow C, 2001, J APPL METEOROL, V40, P1801, DOI 10.1175/1520-0450(2001)040<1801:TEOTGP>2.0.CO
[24]  
2
[25]  
L'Ecuyer TS, 2002, J APPL METEOROL, V41, P272, DOI 10.1175/1520-0450(2002)041<0272:AEBPRA>2.0.CO
[26]  
2
[27]   The remarkable wide range spatial scaling of TRMM precipitation [J].
Lovejoy, S. ;
Schertzer, D. ;
Allaire, V. C. .
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2008, 90 (01) :10-32
[28]   A joint satellite and global cloud-resolving model analysis of a Madden-Julian Oscillation event: Model diagnosis [J].
Masunaga, H. ;
Satoh, M. ;
Miura, H. .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2008, 113 (D17)
[29]   Climate change - Stationarity is dead: Whither water management? [J].
Milly, P. C. D. ;
Betancourt, Julio ;
Falkenmark, Malin ;
Hirsch, Robert M. ;
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. ;
Lettenmaier, Dennis P. ;
Stouffer, Ronald J. .
SCIENCE, 2008, 319 (5863) :573-574
[30]  
NEELIN JD, 2006, P NATL ACAD SCI USA, V103, DOI DOI 10.1073/PNAS.06017981093