Feeding and fueling China in the 21st century

被引：20

作者：

Anderson, K ^{[1
]}

Peng, CY ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia

来源：

WORLD DEVELOPMENT | 1998年 / 26卷 / 08期

基金：

澳大利亚研究理事会;

关键词：

Asia; China; food prospects; energy prospects;

D O I：

10.1016/S0305-750X(98)00061-8

中图分类号：

F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

This paper addresses the questions: to what extent will China become a significant net importer of food and fuel in the foreseeable future, and what will be the impact of that import demand growth on international markers? It first summarizes what standard trade and development economics and the experiences of other Asian economies suggest we should expect of China, and then examines China's experience to date before turning to some forecasts for the next decade or so. Our review suggests that before long China will become a significant net importer of both food and fuels (especially petroleum). Contrary to Chinese fears, however, becoming more interdependent with the rest of the world need not be threatening and it may even offer more supply security for China in the long run. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：1413 / 1429

页数：17