Is a global warming signature emerging in the tropical Pacific?

被引：49

作者：

Ashok, K. ^{[1
]}

Sabin, T. P. ^{[1
]}

Swapna, P. ^{[1
]}

Murtugudde, R. G. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Indian Inst Trop Meteorol, Ctr Climate Change Res, Pune 411008, Maharashtra, India

[2] Univ Maryland, Earth Sci Interdisciplinary Ctr, College Pk, MD 20742 USA

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2012年 / 39卷

关键词：

EQUATORIAL PACIFIC; EL-NINO; CLIMATE; MODEL; ENSO;

D O I：

10.1029/2011GL050232

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

The tropical pacific experienced a hitherto-unseen anomalous basinwide warming from May 2009 through April 2010 with the maximum warming to the east of the dateline, but for a weak anomalous cooling west of 140 degrees E after early boreal fall. Our observed analysis and model experiments isolate the potential teleconnections from TP during the summer of 2009. Further, we show through an empirical orthogonal function analysis of the tropical Pacific SSTA that the anomalous conditions in TP during this period could have manifested as a canonical El Nino, but for a slowly intensifying background west-east gradient. This zonal SST gradient is subject to an increasing trend associated with global warming. A possible implication is that any further increase in global warming may result in more basinwide warm events in place of canonical El Ninos, along with the occurrence of more intense La Ni as and El Nino Modokis. Citation: Ashok, K., T. P. Sabin, P. Swapna, and R. G. Murtugudde (2012), Is a global warming signature emerging in the tropical Pacific?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L02701, doi:10.1029/2011GL050232.

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