Dengue epidemics and human mobility

被引：42

作者：

Barmak, D. H. ^{[1
]}

Dorso, C. O.

Otero, M.

Solari, H. G.

机构：

[1] Univ Buenos Aires, Fac Ciencias Exactas & Nat, Dept Fis, RA-1428 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina

来源：

PHYSICAL REVIEW E | 2011年 / 84卷 / 01期

关键词：

AEDES-AEGYPTI DIPTERA; LIFE TABLE MODEL; TRANSMISSION; DISEASE; DYNAMICS; FEVER; SIMULATION; NETWORKS;

D O I：

10.1103/PhysRevE.84.011901

中图分类号：

O35 [流体力学]; O53 [等离子体物理学];

学科分类号：

070204 ; 080103 ; 080704 ;

摘要：

In this work we explore the effects of human mobility on the dispersion of a vector borne disease. We combine an already presented stochastic model for dengue with a simple representation of the daily motion of humans on a schematic city of 20 x 20 blocks with 100 inhabitants in each block. The pattern of motion of the individuals is described in terms of complex networks in which links connect different blocks and the link length distribution is in accordance with recent findings on human mobility. It is shown that human mobility can turn out to be the main driving force of the disease dispersal.

引用

页数：11

共 44 条

[1]

[Anonymous], 2012, Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever

[2]

Bartley LM, 2002, T ROY SOC TROP MED H, V96, P387, DOI 10.1016/S0035-9203(02)90371-8

[3] Explaining the high number of infected people by dengue in Rio de Janeiro in 2008 using a susceptible-infective-recovered model [J].

Botari, Tiago ;

Alves, S. G. ;

Leonel, Edson D. .

PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2011, 83 (03)

[4]

BROCKMANN D, 2006, NATURE LONDON, V439

[5]

Brockmann L.H.D., 2007, SCALING LAW HUMAN TR

[6] Disease spreading in populations of moving agents [J].

Buscarino, A. ;

Fortuna, L. ;

Frasca, M. ;

Latora, V. .

EPL, 2008, 82 (03)

[7] Dynamics of Person-to-Person Interactions from Distributed RFID Sensor Networks [J].

Cattuto, Ciro ;

Van den Broeck, Wouter ;

Barrat, Alain ;

Colizza, Vittoria ;

Pinton, Jean-Francois ;

Vespignani, Alessandro .

PLOS ONE, 2010, 5 (07)

[8] Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data [J].

Chowell, G. ;

Diaz-Duenas, P. ;

Miller, J. C. ;

Alcazar-Velazco, A. ;

Hyman, J. M. ;

Fenimore, P. W. ;

Castillo-Chavez, C. .

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES, 2007, 208 (02) :571-589

[9] Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city [J].

Chowell, G ;

Hyman, JM ;

Eubank, S ;

Castillo-Chavez, C .

PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2003, 68 (06)

[10] Coupled Contagion Dynamics of Fear and Disease: Mathematical and Computational Explorations [J].

Epstein, Joshua M. ;

Parker, Jon ;

Cummings, Derek ;

Hammond, Ross A. .

PLOS ONE, 2008, 3 (12)

← 1 2 3 4 5 →